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020 _a9789048189069
_9978-90-481-8906-9
024 7 _a10.1007/978-90-481-8906-9
_2doi
035 _ato000546062
040 _aSpringer
_cSpringer
_dRU-ToGU
050 4 _aHB848-3697
072 7 _aJHBD
_2bicssc
072 7 _aSOC006000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a304.6
_223
100 1 _aZeng, Yi.
_eauthor.
_9454689
245 1 0 _aHousehold and Living Arrangement Projections
_helectronic resource
_bThe Extended Cohort-Component Method and Applications to the U.S. and China /
_cby Yi Zeng, Kenneth C. Land, Danan Gu, Zhenglian Wang.
260 _aDordrecht :
_bSpringer Netherlands :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2014.
300 _aXXIX, 357 p. 79 illus., 54 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
490 1 _aThe Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
_x1389-6784 ;
_v36
505 0 _aPreface -- Acknowledgement -- Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION -- Part I: METHODOLOGY, DATA, AND ASSESSMENTS.: CHAPTER 2 PROFAMY: THE EXTENDED COHORT-COMPONENT METHOD FOR HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS -- Chapter 3 DATA NEEDS AND ESTIMATION PROCEDURES -- Chapter 4 EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENTS AND A COMPARISON WITH THE HEADSHIP RATE METHOD -- Chapter 5 EXTENSION OF ProFamy MODEL TO PROJECT ELDERLY DISABILITY STATUS AND HOME-BASED CARE COSTS, WITH AN ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATION -- Chapter 6 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS AT THE SMALL AREA LEVEL -- Chapter 7 A SIMPLE METHOD FOR PROJECTING PENSION DEFICIT RATES AND AN ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATION -- Part II: APPLICATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES: Chapter 8 U.S. FAMILY HOUSEHOLD MOMENTUM AND DYNAMICS: PROJECTIONS AT THE NATONAL LEVEL -- Chapter 9 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS FOR THE 50 STATES, WASHINGTON DC, AND RELATIVELY LARGE COUNTIES IN THE U.S. -- Chapter 10 EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE AND LIVING ARRANGEMENTS ON FUTURE HOME-BASED CARE COSTS FOR DISABLED ELDERS IN THE UNITED STATES -- Chapter 11 PROJECTIONS OF HOUSEHOLD VEHICLE CONSUMPTION IN THE UNITED STATES -- Part III: APPLICATIONS IN CHINA.: Chapter 12 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS  IN CHINA  AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL -- Chapter 13 DYNAMICS OF HOUSEHOLDS AND LIVING ARRANGEMENTS IN THE EASTERN, MIDDLE, AND WESTERN REGIONS OF CHINA -- Chapter 14 APPLICATION OF HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS TO POLICY ANALYSIS IN CHINA -- Chapter 15 HOUSEHOLD HOUSING DEMAND PROJECTIONS FOR HEBEI PROVINCE OF CHINA -- Part IV: PROFAMY (VERSION 2.1): A SOFTWARE FOR HOUSEHOLD AND CONSUMPTION FORECASTING: USER’S GUIDE -- Chapter 16 SETTING UP THE PROJECTION MODEL -- Chapter 17 PREPARING INPUT DATA, COMPUTING, AND MANAGING OUTPUT -- Chapter 18 EPILOGUE: SUMMARY AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES.
520 _aThis book presents an innovative demographic toolkit known as the ProFamy extended cohort-component method for the projection of household structures and living arrangements with empirical applications to the United States, the largest developed country, and China, the largest developing country. The ProFamy method uses demographic rates as inputs to project detailed distributions of household types and sizes, living arrangements of all household members, and population by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and urban/rural residence at national, sub-national, or small area levels.  It can also project elderly care needs and costs, pension deficits, and household consumption. The ProFamy method presented herein has substantial merits compared to the traditional headship rate method, which is not linked to demographic rates and projects limited household types without other household members than "heads". The book consists of four parts. The first part presents the methodology, data, estimation issues, and empirical assessments. The next parts present applications in the United States (part two) and China (part three), concerning demographic, social, economic, and business research; policy analysis, including forecasting future trends of household type/size, elderly living arrangements, disability, and home-based care costs, and household consumption including housing and vehicles. The fourth part includes a user’s guide for the ProFamy software to project households, living arrangements, and home-based consumptions. This book offers an invaluable toolkit for researchers, analysts and students in academic, public and private businesses, whose work is related to levels and rates of change in households, population and consumption patterns.
650 0 _asocial sciences.
_9303016
650 0 _aRegional planning.
_9566040
650 0 _aMarketing
_9564740
650 0 _aAging
_xResearch.
_9308374
650 0 _aDemography.
_9304260
650 1 4 _aSocial Sciences.
_9303016
650 2 4 _aDemography.
_9304260
650 2 4 _aFamily.
_9135991
650 2 4 _aMarketing
_9564740
650 2 4 _aAging.
_9308375
650 2 4 _aLandscape/Regional and Urban Planning.
_9308505
700 1 _aLand, Kenneth C.
_eauthor.
_9454691
700 1 _aGu, Danan.
_eauthor.
_9315710
700 1 _aWang, Zhenglian.
_eauthor.
_9454692
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
_9143950
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
830 0 _aThe Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
_9311380
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8906-9
912 _aZDB-2-SHU
999 _c403698